Judul : Inside Tinubu’s quiet strategy: Kwankwaso, NEC power play, and the 2027 master plan
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Inside Tinubu’s quiet strategy: Kwankwaso, NEC power play, and the 2027 master plan
On Monday, July 21, President Bola Ahmed Tinubu welcomed Senator Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso to Aso Rock. No cameras, no official statements – just two elder statemen sharing quiet words in the Villa. But in Nigerian politics, silence often speaks louder than speeches.
That single meeting has now set tongues wagging . This is because this wasn’t a courtesy call, rather it was a signal. One that the All Progressives Congress (APC) is preparing for a major reset as its National Executive Committee (NEC) meeting kicks off this Thursday, July 24.
The official agenda is simple: pick a new National Chairman after Abdullahi Ganduje’s resignation. But that is not all all there is to the meeting, as it runs deeper, reshaping the party’s power structure and planning for 2027.
Kwankwaso: A Key Northern Figure
For those who understand the game, Kwankwaso isn’t just another politician. He founded the Kwankwasiyya red cap army, which is still a dominant force in Kano — a state with over 5.7 million registered voters. Recall that in 2023, he pulled 1.4 million votes under NNPP, nearly toppling APC’s grip in the North.
Bringing Kwankwaso back into the APC fold would be a political masterstroke for Tinubu. It means securing the North-West, neutralising a future rival, and silencing opposition whispers about 2027.
Analysts believe Ganduje’s sudden exit was no coincidence. His removal clears the runway for Kwankwaso, or at least someone who can smooth his landing into APC. Thus, instinctively think of the Villa meeting as the first boarding pass.
The Bigger Picture: Regional Balancing Act
Tinubu’s moves aren’t just about the North. Sources say he’s reaching out to South-East and South-South governors, dangling political incentives for loyalty. All because the Constitution doesn’t reward lopsided victories. To win in 2027, APC needs spread, not just strength.
But while the President courts new friends, he cannot afford to lose old ones.
The South-West, his home base, is restless. Inflation bites, tariffs sting, and youth unemployment is on the rise. Tinubu needs quick wins to keep Lagos and Ibadan smiling or risk a crack in his strongest wall.
Thursday’s NEC: More Than a Meeting
So, what happens on July 24? Officially, a chairman will emerge. Unofficially, Nigerians will read the tea leaves:
If the new leader comes from the North-West, it’s a seal to Kwankwaso.
If a neutral figure takes charge, it’s about keeping everyone guessing.
Either way, this isn’t only stapled on a leadership shuffle. It’s a grand game of alliances that sees to the merging of North and South, while old foes become allies, and defections loom like dark clouds over PDP and NNPP.
The question is: Can Tinubu pull this off without setting off an internal firestorm? Bringing Kwankwaso closer could anger Kano APC loyalists. Striking deals with southern governors might spark suspicion in the North. One wrong move, and the architecture collapses.
The bottom line is that Thursday’s meeting will tell us if APC is merely replacing a chairman or building the foundation for an electoral empire come 2027.
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